What a difference a couple of days can make! Last week there were conservative pundits from coast to coast urging Mittens to dump his entire campaign team and revamp his strategy, because only the most partisan of Republicans could envision a Romney victory in November given Mitt's dismal performances of late.
But yesterday Mitt announced his selection of Rep. Paul Ryan for his running mate, and suddenly EVERYONE! is spastic with excitement about this "dream team."
I hate to be the one to burst their 'optimystical' bubble, but an enthusiasm bump is par for the course when announcements like this are made. Usually, the announcement is made to garner just such a bump, especially when the campaign seems to be sinking in quicksand.
But the choice of Ryan is problematic for Mitt on a couple of levels. First of all, the same people who were critical of Obama's candidacy three years ago due to his lack of foreign policy experience are suddenly trying to sell Romney and Ryan's combined inexperience as an advantage for the Republicans. Noot Gingrich, who blasted Obama's inexperience, is now saying that they'll be better equipped to handle foreign policy headaches because they "aren't part of the current mess."
And then there's Rep. Ryan's vast experience as a legislator to examine. So far, after a decade in Congress, Ryan has seen two of his sponsored bills advance to become law. One was to name a post office in Wisconsin, and the other was a bill to amend the IRS tax code concerning imported arrows. Arrows, as in "bows and arrows." Apparently, one of America's most pressing problems, in Ryan's eyes, was the fact that imported arrows had a sales tax levy imposed. Being a bow hunting enthusiast, Ryan saw that as a legislative priority. He had the code changed so that arrows were taxed at a flat rate of 39 cents each.
Quite a record.
Of course, he's also authored several plans to reform Social Security and Medicare. But Team Romney is already crawfishing away from the specifics of those proposals, because to boldly go where no man has gone before (vouchers for Medicare) would take balls, and we all know better than to think Mitt has a pair.
So what you've got is a candidate for president who's proven adept at saying whatever his current audience wants to hear teaming up with a guy who says some of the most unpopular things anyone could imagine trying to sell to older Americans.
Romney knew better than to select this guy at this time. But Romney was being pilloried by his own base, raked over the coals in a very public display of buyer's remourse, and he had to do something to calm the restless natives who were threatening to abandon his candidacy completely. So he took their "advice" (some might call it a coerced threat) and nominated Paul Ryan to run on his ticket.
Here's what we can expect: Romney's numbers will "soar" in comparison to his tepid poll results of late, and conservatives will swoon. We'll hear a lot of talk about "turning a new corner" in the campaign, and donations will pour in from average people (and not just his millionaire buddies.)
But before the Republican convention begins later this month, those numbers will begin to sag. The convention will give another temporary boost to his campaign... and then it will all begin a long, slow, slog down the drain.
Just read that Ryan will only release two year's worth of tax returns, although he had to provide a hell of a lot more than two years to pass inspection. Just wouldn't do for the Veep to offer up all of his returns when his "boss" is unwilling to share more than the one year (and partial second) he's coughed up.
We've been told all year that this will be a very, very close election, partly because of the economy's woes, and partly because of the influx of unlimited, undocumented cash on the Republican side.
But even with those advantages factored in, along with a highly coordinated effort at nationwide voter suppression, this won't be close. Romney just handed Barack Obama a second term on a platter. And I think Mitt knows it, deep in his heart.
He would have preferred a safe choice, but was instructed to "go bold!"
So he went "bold."
Hide and watch. This won't be close in November.



4 comments:
As soon as congress is back in session, Ryan will sponsor a bill to exempt Olympians medals and prize money. Wanna bet?
Aw, man! That's a good one! I was thinking more along the lines of a voucher credit for puppy and kitten owners, redeemable at any Pets-R-Us store in America, the Bahamas, or the Cayman Islands.
This guy will draw bigger crowds than Rmoney. And Rmoney will be in his shadow, not the other way around.
So, what was the initial good result for Rmoney? Millions poured in over the weekend, they are raising tons of cash, and better yet for him his low tax rate and hidden money and tax returns are no longer in the news. This was a real good weekend for the harem cult guy.
Listening to Paul Ryan speak is not altogether uninteresting. He'll do well in the debates, and he'll help Romney on the stump as they dash around the country.
But as soon as the details of his budget plan are exposed again and again, and the numbers are crunched and examined, Romney will be spending about as much time distancing himself from his running mate as he'll spend raising his hand in front of the cameras.
Then the film clips of Romney saying he fully supports the Ryan Plan will emerge, like the one in which he says he would have voted in favor of Ryan's Plan, and that will be juxtaposed over graphics showing how much seniors would have to pay for medical care they currently receive from Medicare. Then they'll put up the numbers showing how much his plan improves the tax rates for the 1% at the top of the heap, leaving the social safety nets in tatters for those who will pay the bills.
It will be all wine and roses for a week or two, but as the convention winds down in Tampa reality will begin to take hold, and Americans will get a good look at this guy and his "plan" for their health care and Social Security.
Romney was pushed to make this choice by people who were ready to abandon his campaign in droves, and now he can stand back and blame them when it all crashes and burns like the Hindenberg in November.
He's just given himself a political out by selecting the neocons' pick of the litter, and that will be his only point of redemption when this is over.
"Not my fault. Bill Kristol and Karl Rove and the Koch Bros made me pick Ryan. I wanted to take Pawlenty/Christie/Portman."
Mitt's already planning his exit strategy, and this pick is the key to the back door out of this mess.
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